JUST like that, we’re already two full weeks into the Big Bash and while there have been some surprises, by and large the action has followed the script.
After 12 matches, a number of clear patterns have already emerged, raising serious concerns for the finals prospects of a number of outfits. There’s also been plenty to take away from a betting perspective too.
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We place a huge emphasis on bowling with our cricket betting, with history showing that the best bowling units consistently win more T20 matches and competitions.
It comes as no surprise to us that the top three sides on the competition ladder – Adelaide, Perth and the Melbourne Renegades – are far and away the three best bowling units in the competition.
In terms of the individual bowlers from a wicket taking and economy perspective, a clear pattern has also emerged. Three fast-medium bowlers – Andrew Tye, Ben Laughlin and Dwayne Bravo – occupy the top three wickets taker slots. All are bowlers with superior changes of pace who do plenty of work at the death. When it comes to economy, there is a clump of key spinners emerging in the competition who are drying up the runs in the middle overs game after game. The lesson – the less pace on the ball, the better.
But while we are huge fans of the Renegades, there is something to be wary of when it comes to their home ground. Etihad Stadium is a graveyard – both matches there so far have produced relatively low scoring encounters on a two-paced drop in pitch. However, such conditions have seen players taking plenty of risks with the bat and a high percentage of sixes, perhaps indicating that working the ball around is quite difficult, ultimately creating wicket taking opportunities as well.
With so many variables at play, Big Bash Twenty20 is undoubtedly the holy grail of summer cricket punting. For each match throughout the tournament, we’ll post our suggested bets daily on puntingstars.com.au, complete with staking plan and the suggested bookie to bet with!
Follow our Week 3 bets below and be sure to check back each day for the latest plays.
Match 13 – Sydney Thunder v Hobart Hurricanes at Spotless Stadium (1/1/18)
Bet: Fawad Ahmed top Thunder bowler – 1 unit @ $5.00 (Bet 365)
Bet: Arjun Nair top Thunder bowler – 1 unit @ $5.00 (Bet 365)
Match 14 – Perth Scorchers v Sydney Sixers at the WACA (1/1/18)
Bet: Total match sixes 9 & over – 1 unit @ $1.83 (Bet 365). Note: Most books have set line at over 9.5 … Bet 365’s is effectively over 8.5 at time of posting 2pm AEDT matchday.
Match 15 – Melbourne Stars v Brisbane Heat at the MCG (2/1/18)
Bet: Brisbane Heat win – 1 unit @ $2.20 (Bet 365)
Bet: Brisbane Heat most sixes – 1 unit @ $2.00 (Sportsbet)
Match 16 – Melbourne Renegades v Sydney Sixers at Geelong (3/1/18)
Bet: Total runs in match over 319.5 – 1.5 units @ $1.83 (Bet 365)
Bet: Aaron Finch Renegades high bat – 1 unit @ $4.00 (Bet 365)
Bet: Dwayne Bravo Renegades top bowler – 1 unit @ $3.75 (Bet 365)
Match 17 – Hobart Hurricanes v Adelaide Strikers at Blundstone Arena (4/1/18)
Bet: Adelaide Strikers win – 2 units @ $1.67 (various)
Bet: Adelaide Strikers highest first six overs score – 1 unit @ $1.80 (various)
Match 18 – Brisbane Heat v Perth Scorchers at the Gabba (5/1/18)
Bet: Perth Scorchers win – 1.5 units win @ $2.30 (various)
Match 19 – Melbourne Stars v Melbourne Renegades at the MCG (6/1/18)
Bet: Melbourne Renegades win – 2 units win @ $1.80 (various)
Match 20 – Sydney Thunder v Adelaide Strikers at Spotless Stadium (7/1/18)
Bet: Adelaide Strikers highest six overs score – 1.5 units @ $1.91 (Ladbrokes)
Bet: Adelaide Strikers most sixes – @ 1 unit @ $2.00 (Bet 365)
RESULTS: Matches 1-20
40.5 units outlay, 47.38 units return, 6.88 units profit