WE’RE a week into IPL 2018 and it has been one of mixed results for subscribers to our FREE daily email service.
Each Saturday, we’ll post the weekly review and suggested bets for the night’s double header here on puntingstars.com.au shortly after it is emailed to our followers.
If you’d like to be placed on the FREE daily email list, DM us on Twitter @puntingstars with your email address or simply email [email protected]
EMAIL: IPL Bets – April 14th
As we approach the end of the first week of IPL 2018, a distinct pattern has emerged – in eight completed matches, seven have been won by the team batting second (88%).
The only match won by the side which batted first was heavily rain affected.
However, this toss bias appears disproportionate with historical IPL results. In 2017, 32/59 (54%) resulted matches were won by the chasing side, and in 2016 it was 39/60 (65%).
Interestingly, in the first 20 matches of 2017, 12 (60%) were won by the side batting second. In 2016, that figure was a whopping 17 of the first 20 (85%) fixtures.
So how does that translate to our betting in IPL 2018?
The key learning is in recent IPL history, tournaments have begun with a heavy toss bias towards the team batting second – perhaps as teams struggle to nail down their best death/defensive bowling combinations.
So far, we have lost FOUR head-to-head bets when backing a team which has subsequently batted first, then seen their total overhauled in the final over.
As the nature of this service is primarily a ‘set and forget’ approach, we’ll be adapting these trends to our ratings. This may result in fewer head-to-head recommendations.
Below are our bets for tonight’s double header – including one H2H bet we simply could not let slide. Good punting!
Mumbai Indians v Delhi Daredevils 8:30pm 14/04/2018
Bet: Mumbai Indians MOST MATCH SIXES – 1 unit @ $1.75+
The best price currently is with UBET at $1.83
Bet: Mumbai Indians OVER 7.5 TOTAL SIXES – 1 unit @ $1.85+
The best price currently is with TopSport at $1.90
Kolkata Knight Riders v Sunrisers Hyderabad 12:30am 15/04/2018
Bet: Sunrisers Hyderabad WIN – 1 unit @ $2.20+ (most books)
The best price currently is with Sportsbet at $2.22
From 12.5u outlay:
– On recommended min price, -2.55u
– On best available price, -2.16u